Good morning all and happy Friday to MLS Fantasy managers! My goodness, the east coast has been riddled with rain for days now, but we are back at it today for our weekly Parsing The Percentage piece.
With one match already in the books for Round 12, we expect managers will have at least a handful of players already locked in. However, there’s still quite a bit more soccer to be played this weekend, and we’re optimistic we’ll be able to provide you with a few picks to help you finalize those last few roster slots.
NYCFC (vs. Colorado)
FiveThirtyEight: 66% chance to win
OddsShark: NYCFC Win -275
OddsPortal: NYCFC Win -286
NYCFC have had a rough go of it as of late, picking up only four points over their last four matches, including a brutal loss to New York Red Bulls just two weeks back. However, they have a good chance to right the ship here as they come back to Yankee Stadium for the first time in May against a Colorado squad that has struggled considerably on the road this season.
Given how NYC have been playing as of late, we would say that David Villa (10.3m) is the only attacking option that we're comfortable locking in from NYCFC at this point. Both Maxi Moralez and Jesus Medina both struggling quite a bit as of late, and in a week where several lineup slots are likely already occupied by DGW players, it's tough to fit either in at this point - even with Colorado coming to visit.
That being said, keep an eye on the lineup announcement at noon (EST) on Saturday - if Ismael Tajouri-Shradi (8.0m) manages to crack the starting lineup this weekend, he could be worth a punt for managers looking for a budget option. Tajouri-Shradi has been nothing short of electric when he's on the pitch, and could have a phenomenal fantasy day if he finds himself in the Starting XI.
Defensively, you've got your usual suspects here: Alexander Ring (10.0m) will be a defensive bonus point machine in the midfield (along with Yangel Herrera (7.6m) to a slightly lesser degree). Sean Johnson (6.2m) has a solid shout at a clean sheet, Maxime Chanot (7.2m) is a good option if he's healthy and playing, and Ben Sweat (6.5m) offers some attacking potential from the fullback position.
FC Dallas (vs. Vancouver)
FiveThirtyEight: 58% chance to win
OddsShark: Dallas Win -195
OddsPortal: Dallas Win -204
On Saturday, FC Dallas hosts a Vancouver club that comes in on just two full days of rest after playing pretty much all of their regulars at home against San Jose. When you consider the short rest, the long trip, and the potential for Vancouver to keep some regulars out of the starting lineup, things are looking quite favorable for Vancouver.
We would be remiss if we didn't lead off with Mauro Diaz (10.4m) here. The Argentinian playmaker was an absolute menace against the LA Galaxy last weekend, racking up 14 points with three assists en route to a 3-2 win. Maxi Urruti (8.1m) has also been in fine fantasy form as of late; alliteration aside, he's found the scoresheet in each of the last four matches, tallying three goals and an assist during that stretch. We're anticipating productive afternoons from each of these guys at home on Saturday.
Roland Lamah (10.3m) is another exciting pick here. He continues to live up to his boom-or-bust reputation after putting two in against LA last weekend. Crazy stat: of the nine matches in which he's scored goals, he's scored multiple times in six of them. Lamah is your prototypical "lightning in a bottle" player - if you catch him on a good week, he will reward you many times over.
For managers looking for defensive coverage from Dallas this weekend, goalkeeper Jimmy Maurer (7.7m) and defenders Matt Hedges (8.4m) and Reggie Cannon (8.3m) have all been featured somewhere in our lineups this week as we continue to fine-tune it ahead of this weekend's matches.