MLS Fantasy 2018 - Parsing The Percentages, Round 16

What’s up fantasy managers?! Kevin from SoccerCaptains back at you with a quick turnaround ahead of MLS Fantasy Round 16 – we’re hot off the presses with our weekly Parsing the Percentages piece!

Round 16 features a mere six matches, all taking place on Wednesday night (June 13th) – so the player pool is considerably smaller this round. The oddsmakers seem to favor Toronto FC and the ever-potent NY Red Bulls this week, so we’ll seeing a heavy presence from both squads in our lineups.

So, without further ado, let us slide into this week’s analysis!

Toronto FC (vs. DC United)

FiveThirtyEight: 63% chance to win

OddsShark: Toronto Win -204

OddsPortal: Toronto Win -203


Toronto FC is staring down a plush matchup on this short week as the get ready to do battle with a DC United team that is currently sitting in last place in the Eastern conference. We can, of course, look at Sebastian Giovinco (11.5m) to capitalize in this matchup. Yes, he is pricey. Yes, he had a bad week last week. However, if Toronto is going to continue their 2018 rebound campaign in this week’s slate, they will need Gio to step up, and we like him to answer the call.

Another player whose talents we for sure will seek to employ in tonight's match is Victor Vazquez (9.7m). Coming off last week where we saw him play the majority of the game (73 mins) and collect an assist, we look for him to continue his success and help Toronto put another tally in the win column and find the back of the net. Michael Bradley (9.5m) is another good midfield option – now that he is back where he belongs in the midfield, he should offer a very solid bonus point floor along with increased potential for attacking returns.

It's not all about the offense with TFC this week, either. Goalkeeper Alex Bono (7.3m) will make up one half of our goalkeeper switcheroo this week, with either Greg van der Weil (7.2m) or Auro (7.0m) as our fourth TFC option this round.


NY Red Bulls (vs. Seattle)

FiveThirtyEight: 57% chance to win

OddsShark: NYRB Win -189

OddsPortal: NYRB Win -191


The second team that we are looking to target this week is the New York Red Bulls, who are coming home after a very hard-fought road draw out in Columbus. Yes, Seattle has been stingy on the defensive side of the pitch (only allowing 15 goals to date) but we feel that the Red Bulls offense will be too much to contain for a team coming all the way across the country on short rest. Most notably, Bradley Wright-Phillips (11.8m), is someone who managers can slot into their lineup with confidence and security. BWP remains one of the top offensive weapons in all of MLS and can either score or assist during any given game; ideally he will be able to do one (or both) of these things on Wednesday.

The Red Bulls will be without Kaku this week, but that doesn’t mean there aren’t options in the midfield. Sean Davis (8.3m) offers a very strong floor week-in and week-out, Danny Royer (7.8m) has very high upside and can go off in any given match, and Florian Valot (8.2m) is a very interesting differential pick to have on the bench as a switcheroo.

Defensively, Luis Robles (6.5m) is back, Kemar Lawrence (7.2m) is one of the top attacking options amongst all fantasy defenders given his prowess along the left flank, and Aaron Long (8.3m) becomes an even stronger pick with the return of Tim Parker (7.3m) from international duty. Managers can be confident in picking multiple players from this group depending on which roles they want to fill in their lineups this week.

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