MLS Fantasy 2018 - Parsing The Percentages, Round 19

Happy Birthday America, and a very happy Double Gameweek to all Fantasy MLS managers. Round 19 has an early start, with lineups locking at 8:00pm EST on Tuesday, July 3rd – and features some solid teams with two games to take advantage of. The teams who are on a Double Game Week are as follows… HOU, LAG, MIN, TOR, ATL, COL, SEA, SPK, RSL, DAL and LAFC. This week, with a quick turnaround, we will look to Houston and Sporting KC to utilize the DGW and optimize lineups for most points.

Houston (vs. LAFC, vs. Minnesota)

FiveThirtyEight: 48% chance to win vs LAFC, 67% to win vs MIN)

OddsShark: HOU Win -110 vs LAFC (weekend odds not yet posted)

OddsPortal: HOU Win -103 vs LAFC (weekend odds not yet posted)


First let us look to Houston and their matchups against LAFC and Minnesota. Given that they are the only team to play on Tuesday night, their players are very strong picks for the switcheroo bench slots. On the attacking end, check the starting lineup and take your pick between forwards Romell Quioto (10.0m), Alberth Elis (9.9m), and/or Mauro Manotas (7.4m). All three offer strong attacking potential in both matches this round - although if we had to pick one, Elis would be our choice.

Tomas Martinez (9.7m) is the top midfield option to accompany your Houston forward this round. He's a bit of a rotation risk, but he's begun to fit very nicely into Houston's scheme in recent weeks. We like him to participate at least 120 minutes this round - enough to have an impact in both matches and warrant a switcheroo spot on your bench.


Sporting KC (vs. Real Salt Lake, vs. Toronto FC)

FiveThirtyEight:** 40% chance to win vs RSL, 53% chance to win vs TFC

OddsShark:** SKC Win +182 @ RSL (weekend odds not yet posted)

OddsPortal:** SKC Win +186 @ RSL (weekend odds not yet posted)


Now let us look to Sporting KC and their two game slate against Real Salt Lake and then against the defending champs, Toronto FC. Sporting KC has been playing some great soccer of late, and we like the chance for them continue that this week and get two ticks in the win column. Daniel Salloi (11m) has been instrumental in SKC’s success of late on the offensive side of the ball, so managers can look to him as an intriguing fantasy option outside of the usual suspects from Atlanta and LA. Johnny Russell (9.4m) is another alternative, although he's cooled off a bit from his high-octane performances earlier in the year.

We're also optimistic about SKC's chances at pulling at least one clean sheet this round, which means that Tim Melia (10.5m) could be an option here, if you can afford the price tag. Graham Zusi (11.5m) offers a bit more bang for your buck, however, as he will fully benefit from a clean sheet while also having all of the attacking upside that his role offers for SKC.

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