MLS Fantasy 2018 - Parsing The Percentages, Round 20

Good day everyone and happy Round 20 of the MLS Fantasy season! We’ve got yet another early start this round as NYCFC, Chicago, and Montreal each have a double-game-week slate. This week, we will focus on NYCFC and Chicago as we look to employ the services of as many double game week players that will fit into our lineups, so that they can take advantage of each game. With that in mind, let us dive right in!

NYCFC (vs. Montreal, vs. Columbus)

FiveThirtyEight: 63% chance to win vs MTL, 56% to win vs CLB

OddsShark: NYCFC Win -189 vs MTL (Weekend odds not yet available)

OddsPortal: NYCFC Win -188 vs MTL (Weekend odds not yet available)


Looking at NYCFC this week, in both of their matches, we expect them to have quite a few opportunities to find the back of the net. NYCFC has been playing some great soccer of late, and we believe they will continue to do so in Week 20. Managers can look to Ismael Tajouri-Shradi (9.6m) to contribute often to the offensive side of the pitch in both matches as he is slated to start both matches (and likely play all 90 mins) with David Villa and Jo Inge Berget still dealing with injuries.

Out of the midfield, Maxi Moralez (13.5m) remains the top fantasy option amongst the Pigeons, if you can afford him. Defensively, Sean Johnson continues to play well at home, and Alexander Callens had a phenomenal outing against the New York Red Bulls this past weekend. Both players are in solid form, and we expect them to produce at least one clean sheet this week.


Chicago Fire (vs. Philadelphia, @ Dallas)

FiveThirtyEight: 47% chance to win vs PHI, 22% chance to win vs DAL

OddsShark: CHI Win +190 vs PHI (Weekend odds not yet available)

OddsPortal: CHI Win -192 vs PHI (Weekend odds not yet available)


Our gaze shifts to the Chicago Fire team who are slated to play PHI and DAL in this Double-Game-Week. For better or for worse (although mostly worse in 2018), Nemanja Nikolic (5.6m) is a name which comes to mind when we think of the CHI attack. He has had his problems and let downs this year, but with a double game slate at an absurdly low price, we like to take the chance on him in the switcheroo slot at a minimum. It’s worth noting that he’s scored in each of his last two matches, so we could be seeing a bit of resurgence here for the Hungarian striker.

Meanwhile, if you’re looking for more of a high-floor player from Chicago this week, the pairing of Bastian Schweinsteiger (9.1m) and Dax McCarty (8.4m) should bring you a solid amount of bonus points this round, with the latter back to full fitness following injuries earlier in the season. Also, keep an eye on the status of Johan Kappelhoff (6.3m) - the Dutch centerback was involved in a minor car accident a few days back, but is still expected to play; if he does, he offers decent bonus potential as the anchor of Chicago’s back line.

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