MLS Fantasy 2018 - Parsing The Percentages, Round 27

Hello and happy matchday to all the Fantasy MLS Managers out there. Round 27 features a total of EIGHT teams on double-duty while Colorado and Chicago are both on bye, which means we’ve got plenty of switcheroo options out there this round. Let’s jump right in!

Philadelphia (@ DC United, @ Orlando)

FiveThirtyEight: 25% chance to win vs DC United

OddsShark: PHI Win +239 @ DCU (no weekend odds available yet)

OddsPortal: PHI Win +235 @ DCU (no weekend odds available yet)


Philly is one of those teams that has hit a really nice run of form in recent weeks, playing very stout defense while doing enough on the attacking end to come away with some results… which is not a bad strategy when you’re playing on the road twice this week. Therefore, Jack Elliott (5.8m) and Auston Trusty (7.0m) should be able to rack up quite a few defensive bonus points out of the center-back position, as should defensive midfielder Haris Medunjanin (8.2m) during this round. We also like Keegan Rosenberry (7.1m), however there is some inherent risk there with the fullback position. Andre Blake (6.2m) isn’t a terrible play here either, although we think Bill Hamid and Luis Robles are likely better options for keeping a clean sheet this round.

Cory Burke (8.3m) has scored in nearly each game he’s started, so he’s a very solid value play. Borek Dockal (10.9m) has struggled on the road, but he’s in fine form at the moment and should earn some decent bonus points at a minimum. Fafa Picault (8.0m) is an intriguing switcheroo play, especially if he’s on penalties – might be worth a look for managers looking for a differential.


Toronto FC (@ Portland, vs. LAFC)

FiveThirtyEight: 27% chance to win vs Portland

OddsShark: TOR Win +284 (@ POR)

OddsPortal: TOR Win +281 (@ POR)


Toronto has a tough task ahead of them in Portland during the midweek matchup, but last weekend’s performance against Montreal showed us a team that is still in the hunt… and we like their home matchup against LAFC, who has to travel quite a long way for Saturday’s match.

On the attacking end, we actually prefer Jozy Altidore (9.9m) ahead of Sebastian Giovinco (12.5m) this week – the American striker should feature heavily in both matchups, whereas Seba may get a break on Portland’s artificial surface. Jonathan Osorio (11.9m) is another solid option here as well; he should see significant minutes as TFC continues to fight for a playoff spot.

Michael Bradley (10.0m) should continue to pick up defensive bonus points and has a nice floor, however his price tag is a little high compared to the other defensive midfielders this round. We actually prefer Tyler Adams and the aforementioned Haris Medunjanin here. Justin Morrow (6.5m) is a much better option if you’re looking for defensive value from Toronto in Round 27.

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