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Thursday April 5

MLS Fantasy 2018 - Parsing The Percentages, Round 6

A warm welcome and happy April to all MLS Fantasy managers once again! We're back with another edition of our Parsing The Percentages series, where we take a look at the Vegas betting landscape and use it to determine which MLS players should be on your fantasy squads!

Last weekend, our selections of Toronto FC and Sporting Kansas City paid off quite handsomely as both clubs picked up wins at home. This weekend, the oddsmakers are leaning much further south, as Atlanta United and FC Dallas are the two clubs strongly favored in Round 6.

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Friday March 30

MLS Fantasy 2018 - Round 5 Picks

March 30, 7:05pm EST UPDATE: Clint Irwin (4.5m) gets the start over Alex Bono, our lineup has been adjusted accordingly. Quite a bit of switcheroo savings thanks to TFC's Friday Night lineup!!

MLS Fantasy is back once again this weekend, but with a slight adjustment: the first match of Round 5 kicks off on a Friday, instead of a Saturday! Mike Petke's Real Salt Lake takes the trip north of the border to visit Toronto FC for an inter-conference Friday Night showdown, so if you are planning on bringing in players from either club, be sure to do so before 8pm EST!

Naturally, given the Fantasy MLS format this season, we have arranged our lineup in a fashion that it allows us to be pretty flexible and make changes. We'll get into the nitty-gritty behind that below.

Without further ado, here's how we're lined up ahead of tonight's lineup announcements:

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Thursday March 29

MLS Fantasy 2018 - Parsing The Percentages, Round 5

MLS Fantasy is back early this week, which means that we're back a little bit earlier this week with our Parsing the Percentages series. Last week, our selections of New York Red Bulls and Columbus Crew SC paid off very handsomely for fantasy owners, as both clubs cruised to very convincing home victories in Round 4.

For Round 5, we have chosen Toronto FC and Sporting KC as our two selections for Round 5's edition of PTP. Oddsmakers and FiveThirtyEight give each of these clubs very strong odds at an outright victory this coming weekend. As such, we recommend allocating MLS Fantasy funds towards their players - we break down which specific players we favor below.

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Thursday March 22

MLS Fantasy 2018 - Parsing The Percentages, Round 4

The numbers are in, the odds are out, and we're ready to go once again with our Parsing The Percentages series!!

For Round 4, we've selected the New York Red Bulls and Columbus Crew SC as our top two clubs this weekend. Oddsmakers across the board have given each of these teams well above a 50% chance of winning outright. Should each of these teams manage to come away with a win, MLS Fantasy who loaded up on players from each of these teams would be primed to come away with some big fantasy points. So without further ado, let's jump on in to our picks!

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Wednesday March 21

MLS Fantasy 2018 - March International Call-Ups

It's that time of the season again: the March International Call-Ups are upon us! Long-time MLS Fantasy managers are quite familiar with this dance: just a few games in to the season, lineups are shaken up for one or two rounds thanks to the FIFA window.

MLS offers a pretty good summary of the call-ups for each team on their website, which can come in handy for most managers. Unfortunately, this page isn't very user-friendly as managers have to do a considerable amount of scrolling to consume all of the players that are away.

This is where we come in. We've compiled a spreadsheet that allows MLS Fantasy managers to quickly review both the players that are away and when we expect them to return. I'll be adding a Google Docs link to this piece later this evening, but in the interim, you can find a screenshot of the table after the jump below!

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Saturday March 17

MLS Fantasy 2018 - Round 3 Picks

Good morning, happy St. Patrick's Day, and happy match day to all of the MLS Fantasy managers out there!

We've got less than four hours from kickoff at this point, so here's where we currently stand:



Naturally, there will likely be some changes to this, based on lineups and whatnot - which we'll be sharing throughout the day. In the meantime, we'll break down some of the logic behind our picks that we don't expect to change:

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Thursday March 15

MLS Fantasy 2018 - Parsing The Percentages, Round 3

Hey gang, Kevin from Soccer Captains here, and I’m back to bring you my take around Round 3. Once again, this article centers around a team’s percentage to win, which in theory leads to higher expected returns for players from that squad.

Last week, in our inception article, I’m happy to report we had a great showing: we focused our eyes on the ATL/DCU and NYC/LAG matchups, with our picks generating the following results:

• Miguel Almiron (ATL) - 15 points
• Josef Martinez (ATL) - 12 points
• Maxi Moralez (NYC) - 15 points
• Jesus Medina (NYC) - 15 points
• David Villa (NYC) - 17 points

To be fair, one might consider these the ‘Usual Suspects’ when it comes to fantasy... but at the end of the day, you can’t argue with the results. That being said, we are ready to take on Week 3 and analyze which players to target as you get ready to round out your lineups. Here are my picks:

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Wednesday March 14

MLS Fantasy 2018 - MLSFI Podcast, Round 3

Good afternoon MLS Fantasy managers! The MLSFI crew invited me once again to join their podcast in what was a very fun episode of MLS Fantasy Insider! I joined Mike and Reid as we broke down last weekend's matchups, the upcoming reunion between Mike Petke and the New York Red Bulls, and more! I've attached the podcast below, be sure to give it a listen!

Additionally, congratulations to the MLS Fantasy Boss on his nuptials this past weekend! All the best to you and Mrs. Boss!

We've embedded the podcast after the jump, but before you begin listening, here are the other hosts - make sure to give them a follow on Twitter for all of your MLS Fantasy needs!

@MLSFantasyBoss

@MikeDatTiger

@riffbw

@MLSInjuryNews


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Friday March 9

MLS Fantasy 2018 - Parsing Out The Percentages

So here we are; week 2 of MLS season back in action for the 2018 season. We saw some interesting results in the first week and hopefully managers were able to shake off some of the cobwebs to optimize their lineup and scoring options for Week 2.

This article is designed to provide further data with respect to analyzing which team, and moreover which player, should WIN their match and ideally score a goal. The concept here is that if a team has a higher chance to win their match, they will need to score a goal (or multiple goals) to do so. Upon identifying those matches with the chance to win, we will then look at the team's best offensive weapons who would likely have the most advantageous chance to score a goal and thus score in Fantasy MLS.

We've looked at several betting lines in putting together this article, but the crew over at FiveThirtyEight does a great job with their MLS coverage, so we're using their percentages as a reference below.

ATL vs DC (3/11/18) - ATL with a 65% Chance to Win

Based upon matchup and strength of players (granted this is only week 2) the team with the highest % chance to win would be Atlanta at home against DC United. Atlanta had a rough go at it last week, posting a goose egg against a strong Houston home club, however, we like The Five Stripes to get on the scoreboard for the first time this weekend... and doing so quite often. That being said, we would ideally like to target the fantasy studs on ATL to further their chance of scoring and getting bonus points - Josef Martinez ($10.7m) and Miguel Almiron ($10m) are two appealing options for this Round 2 slate. Although expensive, with some of the other clubs on BYE this week, we feel that ATL will bounce back and find the back of the net against DC... and ideally, the two most likely members to help their team find the win column is the combination of Martinez and Almiron

NYC vs LA (3/11/18) - NYCFC with a 59% Chance to Win

The second game which we find tantalizing based upon the matchup and % chance to win would be NYCFC taking on LAFC at home. Last week, NYCFC hung 2 goals on a very solid back 4 and keeper in Sporting KC and did so while receiving a red-card (granted, it was in the 88th minute). The NYCFC has always had a strong attacking front and able to score a flurry of goals at an instant, and we look for that trend to continue this weekend at home against LA Galaxy. Of course, when one talks about NYCFC David Villa ($11m) instantly comes to mind; capable of putting up huge numbers and often appearing to score at will, he is in a glorious spot this weekend and should see many chances to score and put up numbers. Two other players to keep your eyes on are Maxi Moralez ($9.7) and Jesus Medina ($9.5). With similar price points, these two are solid options to slot into your MF - Medina had the better scoring weekend last week but Moralez was also very involved in the attacking front for NYCFC. Look for both players to be heavily involved as NYCFC tries to get another win at home for their fans. With Romain Alessandrini confirmed OUT for this matchup, look to the NYCFC midfielders to expose the middle of the field and rack up some points.

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Saturday March 3

MLS Fantasy 2018 - Round 1 Picks

We're just under an hour away from the first kickoff of the 2018 MLS Fantasy season! Toronto and Columbus lineups have been announced, and our Round 1 lineups are officially locked in!

Here's how we're lined up for Round 1:

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We are devoted to bringing users the very best in fantasy soccer analysis, research, commentary and more. The staff at Soccer Captains are all ardent fans of the sport, and we are very excited to see the explosive growth soccer is now experiencing both here in the United States and abroad. Additionally, we are total fanatics when it comes to playing fantasy soccer, which is a great characteristic to have when running a fantasy soccer website!

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